COVID-19 day 165: 📈 2,794,153 cases; 129,434 deaths : 03 July 2020
Global cases pass 11 million, US sets another record; COVID-19 circles the White House as Herman Cain and Kimberly Guilfoyle test positive (both were at Tulsa rally); MLB cancels July All Star Game
It’s day 165 since the first case of coronavirus disease was announced in the United States. Today we passed 11 million cases globally. It took 75 days to reach the first million; it took six days to go from 10 million to 11 million.
The US set a record for new cases, the fifth time in seven days (Johns Hopkins). According to the Washington Post, this is the 26th day in a row that Florida’s seven-day average has been a record.
At least four states set single-day case records on Friday: Alabama (1,754), Alaska (46), North Carolina (2,099) and South Carolina (1,831). Kansas reports only three days a week, but reported its most cases (929).
For the first time, more than 10 states reported more than 1,000 cases. The others: Arizona (4,433), California (8,040), Georgia (2,784), Illinois (1,806), Louisiana (1,728), Ohio (2,392), Texas (7,555) and Tennessee (1,822).
🦠 Friday, Johns Hopkins reported 2,794,153 (54,274 new) cases and 129,434 (694 new) deaths, an increase of 1.98% (1.99%) and 0.54% (0.53%), respectively, since Thursday (Wednesday). A week ago, the daily numbers increased by 1.87% and 0.51%, respectively.
The seven-day average: 46,480 ⬆️ (44,815) cases and 628 ⬇️ (845) deaths
Percent of cases leading to death: 4.63% ⬇️(4.70% %).
Today’s case rate is 844.15 per 100,000; the death rate, 39.1 per 100,000.
One week ago, the case rate was 737.1 per 100,000; the death rate, 37.56 per 100,000.
Note: numbers in (.) are from the prior day and are provided for context. I include the seven-day average because dailies vary so much in the course of a week, particularly over a weekend.
🤓 Recommended reading
The numbers are hard to comprehend:
Based on research in 84 countries, a team at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology reckons that, for each recorded case, 12 go unrecorded and that for every two covid-19 deaths counted, a third is misattributed to other causes. Without a medical breakthrough, it says, the total number of cases will climb to 200m-600m by spring 2021. At that point, between 1.4m and 3.7m people will have died. Even then, well over 90% of the world’s population will still be vulnerable to infection—more if immunity turns out to be transient (emphasis added).
Covid-19 is here to stay. People will have to adapt. The Economist, 03 July 2020.
🎦 Recommended viewing
Watch Hamilton on Disney Plus. Happy 4th of July!
Sections (no jump links, sorry!)
1, Around the country; 2, Around the world; 3, Politics, economics and COVID-19; 4, Case count; 5, What you can do and resources
⓵ Around the country
❌ Third installment of COVIDiots is from the University of Washington, where 66 members of a single fraternity have tested positive. At least 105 residents in 15 campus fraternities have “self reported” that they have tested positive.
“While we were pleased to see most of the houses had previously taken measures to reduce resident capacity by up to 50% this summer in response to COVID-19, those measures are not sufficient without vigilant, daily preventive measures, such as wearing face coverings, physical distancing and hand hygiene,” said Dr. Geoffrey Gottlieb, chair of the UW Advisory Committee on Communicable Diseases.
⚾️ For the first time since 1945, no Major League Baseball All Star Game. Which makes sense to me as this year’s baseball season hasn’t started yet. On Friday, MLB announced that 38 players and staff members on 19 teams had tested positive. There are 30 teams.
🏁 NASCAR race driver Jimmie Johnson is the first driver to test positive. He will miss the Brickyard 400 at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway on Sunday.
⛱ Miami-Dade County has imposed a 10 pm to 6 am curfew, which started Friday night. The mayor also announced a rollback of the re-opening of “entertainment facilities, such as movie theaters, arcades, casinos (with the exception of tribal casinos, over which the County does not have jurisdiction), adult entertainment, concert houses, bowling alleys and other establishments that have recently had their plans approved by the County.
❌ The ACLU reports that “[d]eaths in nursing homes, psychiatric care facilities, and institutions for the developmentally disabled account for at least half of all COVID-19 deaths in the country.”
⓶ Around the world
As governors shut down bars in the US, the UK has opened its pubs.
The European Union has given conditional approval for remdesivir to be used to treat severely ill COVID-19 patients. This follows the conditional approval that the FDA gave the drug back on 1 May.
Brazil has passed 1.5 million coronavirus cases, with 62,000 deaths (Johns Hopkins).
⓷ Politics, economics and COVID-19
COVID-19 is circling the White House.
Herman Cain is being treated for COVID-19 in an Atlanta-area hospital, almost two weeks after attending President Trump’s infamous campaign rally in Tulsa, OK. He’s the latest COVID casualty. Six campaign workers have tested positive; two Secret Service agents have tested positive and “dozens” are in quarantine, waiting; and a reporter, who spent six hours in the Oklahoma venue, tested positive about a week later.
Kimberly Guilfoyle, who was also at the Tulsa rally, tested positive for COVID-19 while in South Dakota for Trump’s campaign event at Mount Rushmore. She is a former FOX personality and is currently both a Trump campaign official and Don Junior’s significant other.
It’s not just Trump. At least eight Secret Service agents are in quarantine in Phoenix while preparing for a visit by Vice President Pence. Which has been canceled.
“We signed up to take a bullet for him, we did not sign up to get sick for him for no good reason.”
❌ Missed in real time: the IRS sent $1.4 billion in COVID-19 stimulus payments to people who were dead.
⓸ Case count
There is a lag between being contagious and showing symptoms, between having a test and getting its results. There is also a lag in reports of cases and deaths making their way into daily results; this lag is visible in predictable declines for both reports containing weekend data.
🌎 03 July
Globally: 10 710 005 cases (175 723 new) with 517 877 deaths (5 032 new)
The Americas: 5 445 710 cases (127 918 new) with 255 702 deaths (3 362 new)
US: 2 671 220 cases (54 271 new) with 127 858 deaths (725 new)
Johns Hopkins interactive dashboard (11.00 pm Pacific)
Global confirmed: 11,074,878 (10,871,362)
Total deaths: 525,121 (521,298)
Recovered: 5,863,847 (5,754,013)
🇺🇸 03 July
CDC: 2,732,531 (53,301 new) cases and 128,648 (624 new) deaths
Johns Hopkins*: 2,794,153 (54,274 new) cases and 129,434 (694 new) deaths
State data*: 2,787,665 (59,550 new) identified cases and 122,179 (687 new) deaths
Why WI does not match state website; KS reports only M-W-F; no change, ORTotal tests (US, Johns Hopkins): 34,213,497 (751,316 new)
Take with a grain of salt. Tests not necessarily people. The CDC and at least 11 other states have combined the data for active infections with data for antibodies, boosting total number of tests which can drop the percentage who test positive.
📣 View weekly state infographics
* Johns Hopkins data, ~11.00 pm Pacific.
State data include DC, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands
The virus was not created in a lab and the weight of evidence is it was not released intentionally. Although early reports tied the outbreak to a market in Wuhan, China, analyses of genomic data in January suggested that the virus might have developed elsewhere.
⓹ What you can do
Stay home as much as possible, period.
Wear a mask when near non-family members.
Digestive problems may be a symptom.
Resources
👓 See COVID-19 resource collection at WiredPen.
📝 Subscribe to Kathy’s COVID-19 Memo :: COVID-19 Memo archives
🦠 COVID-19 @ WiredPen.com
📊 Visualizations: US, World
🌐 Global news (at WiredPen)