COVID-19 day 160: 📈 2,548,996 cases; 125,803 deaths : 28 June 2020
Globally, more than 10 million cases and a half-million deaths; WHO reports record number of global cases, 189,077; 20% of 25-34 year olds in Florida test positive
It’s day 160 since the first case of coronavirus disease was announced in the United States. Around the world, it’s taken six days to add another million cases, moving from 9 million to 10 million. On Sunday, WHO reported a record number of global new cases, 189,077, in the past 24 hours.
In a Sunday news conference, WHO reported that many countries are finding it hard to obtain oxygen concentrators which produce medical oxygen for ICUs. Like much of the world’s markets, 80% of the oxygen concentrator market is controlled by a handful of companies and demand worldwide is surpassing supply.
Communities promise themselves that they will keep each other safe; governments promise citizens that they will keep their citizens safe. Everyone has got to now live up to the promises they make, the commitments they make; and people, everyone at every level, need to follow through. ~ Dr Michael Ryan, in response to questions
🦠 Sunday, Johns Hopkins reported 2,548,996 (2,510,323) cases and 125,803 (125,539) deaths, an increase of 1.54% (1.73%) and 0.21% (0.40%), respectively, since Saturday (Sunday). A week ago, the daily numbers increased by 1.14% and 0.21%, respectively.
The seven-day average: 36,735 ↑ (36,170) cases and 761 ↓ (803) deaths
Percent of cases leading to death: 4.94% (5.00%).
Today’s case rate is 758.35 per 100,000; the death rate, 37.93 per 100,000.
One week ago, the case rate was 688.78 per 100,000; the death rate, 36.24 per 100,000.
Note: numbers in (.) are from the prior day and are provided for context. I include the seven-day average because dailies vary so much in the course of a week, particularly over a weekend.
🤓 Recommended reading
“New York has acted as a Grand Central Station for this virus,” said David Engelthaler of the Translational Genomics Research Institute.
How the Virus Won. NYTimes, 25 June 2020, an interactive.
I think that this story has a LOT of “hindsight is 20-20” handwaving. I remember most of these studies that the NYT authors claim were dismissed. I also remember what must have been widespread panic at the federal level if the world’s largest consumer population decided to buy masks when hospitals didn’t have them. But the male rivalry part, and the fact that the German doctor raising concern was female? That I believe.
How the world missed COVID-19’s silent spread. NYTimes, 27 June 2020. h/t Michael Miller
Asked whether society would accept this virus as a way of life -- like it has accepted mass shootings -- Gates said he hopes not.
"It's pretty severe. I hope the media continues to remind people of the tragedy that is represented here," he said, emphasizing the inequity of the disease against the elderly, minorities and health care workers.
Bill Gates: US 'not even close' to doing enough to fight pandemic. CNN, 25 June 2020.
🔬 Research and medical news
A letter-to-the-editor published in the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine suggests countries, such as those in Asia, that emphasized face-mask adoption early on in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic had milder outbreak burdens.
There was a clear negative correlation between the awareness or general acceptance of wearing a face mask and its infection rates.
Countries with early adoption of face masks showed modest COVID-19 infection rates. Science Daily, 24 June 2020.
🎧 Recommended listening
Sections (no jump links, sorry!)
1, Around the country; 2, Around the world; 3, Politics, economics and COVID-19; 4, Case count; 5, What you can do and resources
⓵ Around the country
🏥 ICU beds are more full in states exhibiting the current spikes.
🌵Arizona has more cases per capita (1,015 per 100,000) than Brazil (510.46), Italy (394.46) or Sweden (554.92). Unlike other states with high per capita rates like NY (2,018), in Arizona the case numbers are rising.
Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, is recording as many as 2,000 cases a day, “eclipsing the New York City boroughs even on their worst days,” warned a Wednesday brief by disease trackers at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, which observed, “Arizona has lost control of the epidemic.”…
In Southern states, some epidemiologists also are cautioning about what they are calling a “reverse summer effect,” with warm weather — once thought to interrupt the spread of the virus — driving residents into indoor spaces with recycled air.
One of the reasons for the wildfire: local ordinances were prohibited from requiring masks.
⛱ In Florida, the positivity rates for Floridians aged 25 to 34 is almost 20%.
🍷 California closes bars and nightspots in some counties.
❌ Don’t fly. Allegiant Airlines, from Cleveland to Nashville, Friday. Demand that FAA regulate airlines for public health purposes.
⓶ Around the world
In Germany, Europe’s largest meat processing plant is the source of more than 1,500 infected workers, most from Romania and Bulgaria. Germany’s most populous state is closing restaurants, bars and gyms for a week. Outdoor gatherings are again limited to no more than two people.
⓷ Politics, economics and COVID-19
One community suggests that it is social gatherings, not protests, that have triggered our current spike.
“We're finding that the social events and gatherings, these parties where people aren't wearing masks, are our primary source of infection," [Erika Lautenbach, the director of the Whatcom County Health Department in Washington State] says. “And then the secondary source of infection is workplace settings. There were 31 related employers just associated with that one party because of the number of people that brought that to their workplace. So for us, for a community our size, that's a pretty massive spread.”
⓸ Case count
There is a lag between being contagious and showing symptoms, between having a test and getting its results. There is also a lag in reports of cases and deaths making their way into daily results; this lag is visible in predictable declines for both reports containing weekend data.
🌎 28 June
Globally: 9 843 073 cases (189 077 new) with 495 760 deaths (4 612 new)
The Americas: 4 933 972 cases (117 178 new) with 241 931 deaths (3 169 new)
US: 2 452 048 cases (44 458 new) with 124 811 deaths (650 new)
Johns Hopkins interactive dashboard (11.00 pm Pacific)
Global confirmed: 10,145,791 (9,985,425)
Total deaths: 501,893 (498,895)
Recovered: 5,140,899 (5,055,401)
🇺🇸 28 June
CDC: 2,504,175 (44,703) cases and 125,484 (508) deaths
Johns Hopkins*: 2,548,996 (2,510,323) cases and 125,803 (125,539) deaths
State data*: 2,541,711 (2,498,084) identified cases and 119,435 (119,059) deaths
Why WI data do not match state website; KS reports only M-W-F; RI only reports M-F; also not reporting: ID, NH, TNTotal tests (US, Johns Hopkins): 30,988,013 (30,401,644)
Take with a grain of salt. Tests not necessarily people. The CDC and at least 11 other states have combined the data for active infections with data for antibodies, boosting total number of tests which can drop the percentage who test positive.
📣 View weekly state infographics
* Johns Hopkins data, ~11.00 pm Pacific.
State data include DC, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands
The virus was not created in a lab and the weight of evidence is it was not released intentionally. Although early reports tied the outbreak to a market in Wuhan, China, analyses of genomic data in January suggested that the virus might have developed elsewhere.
⓹ What you can do
Stay home as much as possible, period.
Wear a mask when near non-family members.
Digestive problems may be a symptom.
Resources
👓 See COVID-19 resource collection at WiredPen.
📝 Subscribe to Kathy’s COVID-19 Memo :: COVID-19 Memo archives
🦠 COVID-19 @ WiredPen.com
📊 Visualizations: US, World
🌐 Global news (at WiredPen)